IPCC’s Burning Embers – Reasons for Concern illustrate the future global risk development split into five categories and visualize the trends. The concept was first introduced with the 3rd IPCC Assessment Report, has been widely used to raise awareness for global impacts of climate change and was updated in 2009. To date, this holistic concept has not been transferred to the local level where risks associated with climate change are mostly still understood and analyzed in a sector- and hazard-specific and rarely scenario-based manner.

Existing monitoring schemes are highly efficient, but do not necessarily support other fields. In addition, different time scales apply to the derived information. Downscaling and adapting the global Burning Embers concept to the local level will be an opportunity to harmonize and interface monitoring networks and will allow for gaining a holistic municipal picture of future climate risk impacts and vulnerabilities.

"burning ember" chart

“burning embers” style of visualising climate risk priority

These so-called “Local Burning Embers” (LBEs) will serve as an important decision support for local actors in disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation. They will be fully integrated into current risk management practices and help defining and implementing adaptation measures as stated in, e.g. the Austrian Adaptation Strategy (NAS). The overall aim of “ARISE: Adaptation and Decision Support via Risk Management Through Local Burning Embers” is to develop a decision support system for climate-sensitive iterative risk management as a key adaptation approach. ARISE will contribute to building resilience at the local level and in the City of Lienz in particular. Scenario-based, pro-active risk reduction with the help of LBEs will enable local decision-makers to enhance their preventive capacities and reduce expenses for response measures.

Pilot region Lienz city

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